18 March 2009

Shifty

This is interesting news in the Climate Change debate. According to reseacher Dr. Anastasios Tsonis climate change is the result of synchronization between air and water systems:

In climate, when this happens, the climate state changes. You go from a cooling regime to a warming regime or a warming regime to a cooling regime. This way we were able to explain all the fluctuations in the global temperature trend in the past century. The research team has found the warming trend of the past 30 years has stopped and in fact global temperatures have leveled off since 2001.
We'll see if this study gets much notice. It does weaken the faulty "consensus" argument and makes me uncomfortable with notions about reversing climate change.

3 comments:

A.J. said...

Since I seem to be interested in the global climate change topic string, I could not resist a few quick comments:

(1) ALL published math models work in hind sight. Otherwise, we would not hear about them.

(2) Temperature is not the only gauge of a changing global climate. The earth is too complicated a system to water it down (no pun intended) to one thing.

(3) The arguments in this article are hand wavey at best. I would like to see the actual research until I would read too much into it. Even then ... how many scientific models about exact global climate change have been wrong? I would hate to read into this too much and decide we need to start worrying about global cooling ...

Lowdogg said...

Thanks for the response AJ. I appreciate your insights. I am neither scientist nor engineer, so my impressions are fairly superficial.

1. If the historical nature of this model is a problem, then wouldn't it follow for the models being used to predict climate doom?

2. Good point. I'm with you on this one, and again, that's why I naysay the predictions of our imminent doom.

3. I guess my point is that I'm not sure we should worry about either warming or cooling. Let's look at pollution, other quality of life issues, but not make extreme and far-reaching predictions about what we should do to manipulate the climate.

I guess we're mostly on the same page.

A.J. said...

Answers to youu question in (1): Yes. Actually, definitely yes. A model (or Al Gore) is not what tells me how to behave.

Sort of going along the lines of what you say later in your reply to my comment, I want to conserve and prevent overuaseage of resrouces just because the earth as we know it is finite. There are bound to be problems if we run out of something (water, clean air, etc.) or have too much of something (CO2, unrecyclable trash, etc.).